Morocco Card Harshness

Card Harshness

Morocco

Moderate

What we see

Morocco is shown a card about every 11 fouls. The teams Morocco faced were carded about every 8 fouls.

The other side

When those same opponents played Morocco, they were carded about every 10 fouls. That is close to their own usual rate, so the gap is mostly on Morocco's side.

What this does not mean

This does not show whether comparable fouls were treated differently. We cannot see how bad each foul was, so a harsher rate can simply mean more bookable fouls. Here the team is actually carded less than the teams it faced, not more.

How Card Harshness works

The exact numbers

Fouls / cards

74 fouls, 7 cards

Expected cards

74 fouls × 0.124 = 9.169

Confidence interval (wilson_binomial)

[0.047, 0.183]

Source matches

1489371
1489390
1489405
1562345
1567824
1578539

Per-match inputs

Match	Opponent	Fouls	Cards
1489371	Brazil	14	0
1489390	Scotland	8	1
1489405	Haiti	10	0
1562345	Netherlands	15	1
1567824	Canada	14	4
1578539	France	13	1

Build snapshot

wc2026-7082ae433fbe

Artifact data

View JSON

{
  "baseline": {
    "expectedCards": 9.1686,
    "foulsPerCard": 8.0714,
    "opponentsCardsPerFoul": 0.1239
  },
  "buildSnapshotId": "wc2026-7082ae433fbe",
  "confidence": {
    "band": "moderate",
    "interval": [
      0.0466,
      0.1826
    ],
    "method": "wilson_binomial",
    "metric": "cards_per_foul",
    "point": 0.0946
  },
  "investigation": "card_harshness",
  "mirror": {
    "corroborates": false,
    "oneSided": true,
    "opponentsCardsPerFoulVsTeam": 0.1031,
    "opponentsOwnBaselineCardsPerFoul": 0.1239
  },
  "perMatch": [
    {
      "cardColors": {},
      "cards": 0,
      "fouls": 14,
      "matchId": "1489371",
      "opponent": "Brazil"
    },
    {
      "cardColors": {
        "yellow": 1
      },
      "cards": 1,
      "fouls": 8,
      "matchId": "1489390",
      "opponent": "Scotland"
    },
    {
      "cardColors": {},
      "cards": 0,
      "fouls": 10,
      "matchId": "1489405",
      "opponent": "Haiti"
    },
    {
      "cardColors": {
        "yellow": 1
      },
      "cards": 1,
      "fouls": 15,
      "matchId": "1562345",
      "opponent": "Netherlands"
    },
    {
      "cardColors": {
        "yellow": 4
      },
      "cards": 4,
      "fouls": 14,
      "matchId": "1567824",
      "opponent": "Canada"
    },
    {
      "cardColors": {
        "yellow": 1
      },
      "cards": 1,
      "fouls": 13,
      "matchId": "1578539",
      "opponent": "France"
    }
  ],
  "schemaVersion": "1.0",
  "slots": {
    "confidenceBand": "moderate",
    "doesNotMean": [
      "severity_invisible",
      "favorable_direction"
    ],
    "otherSide": {
      "mirrorFoulsPerCard": 9.7
    },
    "whatWeSee": {
      "baselineFoulsPerCard": 8.0714,
      "teamFoulsPerCard": 10.5714
    }
  },
  "sourceMatches": [
    "1489371",
    "1489390",
    "1489405",
    "1562345",
    "1567824",
    "1578539"
  ],
  "strengthOfSchedule": {
    "direction": null,
    "material": false,
    "opponentsCardsPerFoul": 0.1239,
    "tournamentCardsPerFoul": 0.1181
  },
  "team": {
    "cards": 7,
    "cardsPerFoul": 0.0946,
    "fouls": 74,
    "foulsPerCard": 10.5714
  },
  "teamCode": "Morocco",
  "tournament": "wc_2026"
}

Download JSON