Colombia Card Harshness

Card Harshness

Colombia

Moderate

What we see

Colombia is shown a card about every 9 fouls. The teams Colombia faced were carded about every 9 fouls.

The other side

When those same opponents played Colombia, they were carded about every 9 fouls. That is close to their own usual rate, so the gap is mostly on Colombia's side.

What this does not mean

This does not show whether comparable fouls were treated differently. We cannot see how bad each foul was, so a harsher rate can simply mean more bookable fouls.

How Card Harshness works

The exact numbers

Fouls / cards

70 fouls, 8 cards

Expected cards

70 fouls × 0.111 = 7.735

Confidence interval (wilson_binomial)

[0.059, 0.21]

Source matches

1489386
1489419
1539008
1567310
1576805

Per-match inputs

Match	Opponent	Fouls	Cards
1489386	Uzbekistan	11	1
1489419	Portugal	12	1
1539008	Congo DR	12	2
1567310	Ghana	14	2
1576805	Switzerland	21	2

Build snapshot

wc2026-7082ae433fbe

Artifact data

View JSON

{
  "baseline": {
    "expectedCards": 7.735,
    "foulsPerCard": 9.0476,
    "opponentsCardsPerFoul": 0.1105
  },
  "buildSnapshotId": "wc2026-7082ae433fbe",
  "confidence": {
    "band": "moderate",
    "interval": [
      0.0591,
      0.2096
    ],
    "method": "wilson_binomial",
    "metric": "cards_per_foul",
    "point": 0.1143
  },
  "investigation": "card_harshness",
  "mirror": {
    "corroborates": false,
    "oneSided": true,
    "opponentsCardsPerFoulVsTeam": 0.1176,
    "opponentsOwnBaselineCardsPerFoul": 0.1105
  },
  "perMatch": [
    {
      "cardColors": {
        "yellow": 1
      },
      "cards": 1,
      "fouls": 11,
      "matchId": "1489386",
      "opponent": "Uzbekistan"
    },
    {
      "cardColors": {
        "yellow": 1
      },
      "cards": 1,
      "fouls": 12,
      "matchId": "1489419",
      "opponent": "Portugal"
    },
    {
      "cardColors": {
        "yellow": 2
      },
      "cards": 2,
      "fouls": 12,
      "matchId": "1539008",
      "opponent": "Congo DR"
    },
    {
      "cardColors": {
        "yellow": 2
      },
      "cards": 2,
      "fouls": 14,
      "matchId": "1567310",
      "opponent": "Ghana"
    },
    {
      "cardColors": {
        "yellow": 2
      },
      "cards": 2,
      "fouls": 21,
      "matchId": "1576805",
      "opponent": "Switzerland"
    }
  ],
  "schemaVersion": "1.0",
  "slots": {
    "confidenceBand": "moderate",
    "doesNotMean": [
      "severity_invisible"
    ],
    "otherSide": {
      "mirrorFoulsPerCard": 8.5
    },
    "whatWeSee": {
      "baselineFoulsPerCard": 9.0476,
      "teamFoulsPerCard": 8.75
    }
  },
  "sourceMatches": [
    "1489386",
    "1489419",
    "1539008",
    "1567310",
    "1576805"
  ],
  "strengthOfSchedule": {
    "direction": null,
    "material": false,
    "opponentsCardsPerFoul": 0.1105,
    "tournamentCardsPerFoul": 0.1181
  },
  "team": {
    "cards": 8,
    "cardsPerFoul": 0.1143,
    "fouls": 70,
    "foulsPerCard": 8.75
  },
  "teamCode": "Colombia",
  "tournament": "wc_2026"
}

Download JSON