Brazil Card Harshness

Card Harshness

Brazil

Moderate

What we see

Brazil is shown a card about every 6 fouls. The teams Brazil faced were carded about every 12 fouls.

The other side

When those same opponents played Brazil, they were carded about every 8 fouls.

What this does not mean

This does not show whether comparable fouls were treated differently. We cannot see how bad each foul was, so a harsher rate can simply mean more bookable fouls.

How Card Harshness works

The exact numbers

Fouls / cards

51 fouls, 8 cards

Expected cards

51 fouls × 0.083 = 4.228

Confidence interval (wilson_binomial)

[0.082, 0.28]

Source matches

1489371
1489389
1489406
1562344
1568100

Per-match inputs

Match	Opponent	Fouls	Cards
1489371	Morocco	16	2
1489389	Haiti	13	1
1489406	Scotland	11	2
1562344	Japan	4	2
1568100	Norway	7	1

Build snapshot

wc2026-7082ae433fbe

Artifact data

View JSON

{
  "baseline": {
    "expectedCards": 4.2279,
    "foulsPerCard": 12.0556,
    "opponentsCardsPerFoul": 0.0829
  },
  "buildSnapshotId": "wc2026-7082ae433fbe",
  "confidence": {
    "band": "moderate",
    "interval": [
      0.0817,
      0.2801
    ],
    "method": "wilson_binomial",
    "metric": "cards_per_foul",
    "point": 0.1569
  },
  "investigation": "card_harshness",
  "mirror": {
    "corroborates": false,
    "oneSided": false,
    "opponentsCardsPerFoulVsTeam": 0.1228,
    "opponentsOwnBaselineCardsPerFoul": 0.0829
  },
  "perMatch": [
    {
      "cardColors": {
        "yellow": 2
      },
      "cards": 2,
      "fouls": 16,
      "matchId": "1489371",
      "opponent": "Morocco"
    },
    {
      "cardColors": {
        "yellow": 1
      },
      "cards": 1,
      "fouls": 13,
      "matchId": "1489389",
      "opponent": "Haiti"
    },
    {
      "cardColors": {
        "yellow": 2
      },
      "cards": 2,
      "fouls": 11,
      "matchId": "1489406",
      "opponent": "Scotland"
    },
    {
      "cardColors": {
        "yellow": 2
      },
      "cards": 2,
      "fouls": 4,
      "matchId": "1562344",
      "opponent": "Japan"
    },
    {
      "cardColors": {
        "yellow": 1
      },
      "cards": 1,
      "fouls": 7,
      "matchId": "1568100",
      "opponent": "Norway"
    }
  ],
  "schemaVersion": "1.0",
  "slots": {
    "confidenceBand": "moderate",
    "doesNotMean": [
      "severity_invisible"
    ],
    "otherSide": {
      "mirrorFoulsPerCard": 8.1429
    },
    "whatWeSee": {
      "baselineFoulsPerCard": 12.0556,
      "teamFoulsPerCard": 6.375
    }
  },
  "sourceMatches": [
    "1489371",
    "1489389",
    "1489406",
    "1562344",
    "1568100"
  ],
  "strengthOfSchedule": {
    "direction": "opponents_below_average",
    "material": true,
    "opponentsCardsPerFoul": 0.0829,
    "tournamentCardsPerFoul": 0.1181
  },
  "team": {
    "cards": 8,
    "cardsPerFoul": 0.1569,
    "fouls": 51,
    "foulsPerCard": 6.375
  },
  "teamCode": "Brazil",
  "tournament": "wc_2026"
}

Download JSON