Finding evidence

Switzerland

Compare all teams

Big-moments ledger

Switzerland

Outlier flagComposite outlier — a summary of the three stats above

Adding up the big calls, they netted in Switzerland's favor — worth a look.

Switzerland
Net againstEvenNet for
Net match-swinging calls per match across the field; faded band shows the 95% interval.

3 big calls for Switzerland, 1 against, across penalties, red cards and disallowed goals.

These calls are rare, so even a clear gap is a flag worth a look, not a verdict; the components are shown individually above.

Show the receipts

The ledger is the sum of three stats shown individually above, each from a distinct source so nothing is double-counted:

ComponentForAgainst
Penalties (won vs conceded)20
Players sent off (opponent vs own)11
Goals disallowed (opponent's vs own)00
Net ledger31

Build snapshot: wc2026-ea43146ad0dd

MatchOpponentForAgainst
1489373Qatar10
1489408Canada00
1539005Bosnia & Herzegovina20
1567312Algeria00
1576805Colombia00
1582681Argentina01
View JSON
{
  "buildSnapshotId": "wc2026-ea43146ad0dd",
  "components": {
    "disallowedGoals": {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0
    },
    "dismissals": {
      "against": 1,
      "for": 1
    },
    "penalties": {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 2
    }
  },
  "firmness": "limited",
  "investigation": "big_moments",
  "ledger": {
    "against": 1,
    "for": 3,
    "interval": [
      -0.8255,
      1.457
    ],
    "intervalMethod": "poisson_95_difference",
    "net": 2,
    "netPerMatch": 0.3333
  },
  "lens": "outlier",
  "perMatch": [
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 1,
      "matchId": "1489373",
      "opponent": "Qatar"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1489408",
      "opponent": "Canada"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 2,
      "matchId": "1539005",
      "opponent": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1567312",
      "opponent": "Algeria"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1576805",
      "opponent": "Colombia"
    },
    {
      "against": 1,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1582681",
      "opponent": "Argentina"
    }
  ],
  "schemaVersion": "1.0",
  "sourceMatches": [
    "1489373",
    "1489408",
    "1539005",
    "1567312",
    "1576805",
    "1582681"
  ],
  "teamCode": "Switzerland",
  "tournament": "wc_2026"
}
Download JSON