Finding evidence

Spain

Compare all teams

Big-moments ledger

Spain

Outlier flagComposite outlier — a summary of the three stats above

The big calls netted even for Spain.

Spain
Net againstEvenNet for
Net match-swinging calls per match across the field; faded band shows the 95% interval.

1 big call for Spain, 1 against, across penalties, red cards and disallowed goals.

These calls are rare, so even a clear gap is a flag worth a look, not a verdict; the components are shown individually above.

Show the receipts

The ledger is the sum of three stats shown individually above, each from a distinct source so nothing is double-counted:

ComponentForAgainst
Penalties (won vs conceded)00
Players sent off (opponent vs own)10
Goals disallowed (opponent's vs own)01
Net ledger11

Build snapshot: wc2026-ea43146ad0dd

MatchOpponentForAgainst
1489380Cape Verde Islands00
1489397Saudi Arabia01
1489417Uruguay10
1567311Austria00
1576756Portugal00
1581821Belgium00
View JSON
{
  "buildSnapshotId": "wc2026-ea43146ad0dd",
  "components": {
    "disallowedGoals": {
      "against": 1,
      "for": 0
    },
    "dismissals": {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 1
    },
    "penalties": {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0
    }
  },
  "firmness": "limited",
  "investigation": "big_moments",
  "ledger": {
    "against": 1,
    "for": 1,
    "interval": [
      -0.9244,
      0.9244
    ],
    "intervalMethod": "poisson_95_difference",
    "net": 0,
    "netPerMatch": 0
  },
  "lens": "outlier",
  "perMatch": [
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1489380",
      "opponent": "Cape Verde Islands"
    },
    {
      "against": 1,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1489397",
      "opponent": "Saudi Arabia"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 1,
      "matchId": "1489417",
      "opponent": "Uruguay"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1567311",
      "opponent": "Austria"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1576756",
      "opponent": "Portugal"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1581821",
      "opponent": "Belgium"
    }
  ],
  "schemaVersion": "1.0",
  "sourceMatches": [
    "1489380",
    "1489397",
    "1489417",
    "1567311",
    "1576756",
    "1581821"
  ],
  "teamCode": "Spain",
  "tournament": "wc_2026"
}
Download JSON