Big-moments ledger
Spain
Outlier flagComposite outlier — a summary of the three stats above
Adding up the big calls, they netted in Spain's favor — worth a look.
Spain
Net againstEvenNet for
3 big calls for Spain, 1 against, across penalties, red cards and disallowed goals.
These calls are rare, so even a clear gap is a flag worth a look, not a verdict; the components are shown individually above.
Show the receipts
The ledger is the sum of three stats shown individually above, each from a distinct source so nothing is double-counted:
| Component | For | Against |
|---|---|---|
| Penalties (won vs conceded) | 1 | 0 |
| Players sent off (opponent vs own) | 2 | 0 |
| Goals disallowed (opponent's vs own) | 0 | 1 |
| Net ledger | 3 | 1 |
Build snapshot: wc2026-43c8d1939c51
| Match | Opponent | For | Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1489380 | Cape Verde Islands | 0 | 0 |
| 1489397 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 1 |
| 1489417 | Uruguay | 1 | 0 |
| 1567311 | Austria | 0 | 0 |
| 1576756 | Portugal | 0 | 0 |
| 1581821 | Belgium | 0 | 0 |
| 1585131 | France | 1 | 0 |
| 1591866 | Argentina | 1 | 0 |
View JSON
{
"buildSnapshotId": "wc2026-43c8d1939c51",
"components": {
"disallowedGoals": {
"against": 1,
"for": 0
},
"dismissals": {
"against": 0,
"for": 2
},
"penalties": {
"against": 0,
"for": 1
}
},
"firmness": "limited",
"investigation": "big_moments",
"ledger": {
"against": 1,
"for": 3,
"interval": [
-0.6191,
1.0927
],
"intervalMethod": "poisson_95_difference",
"net": 2,
"netPerMatch": 0.25
},
"lens": "outlier",
"perMatch": [
{
"against": 0,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1489380",
"opponent": "Cape Verde Islands"
},
{
"against": 1,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1489397",
"opponent": "Saudi Arabia"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 1,
"matchId": "1489417",
"opponent": "Uruguay"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1567311",
"opponent": "Austria"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1576756",
"opponent": "Portugal"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1581821",
"opponent": "Belgium"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 1,
"matchId": "1585131",
"opponent": "France"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 1,
"matchId": "1591866",
"opponent": "Argentina"
}
],
"schemaVersion": "1.0",
"sourceMatches": [
"1489380",
"1489397",
"1489417",
"1567311",
"1576756",
"1581821",
"1585131",
"1591866"
],
"teamCode": "Spain",
"tournament": "wc_2026"
}