Penalties
Portugal
Outlier flagOutlier comparison
Portugal was awarded more penalties than it conceded — worth a look.
Portugal
Net concededEvenNet won
1 penalty won (1 scored, 0.0256 per box shot); 0 conceded.
Penalties are rare, and box shots are only a rough proxy for penalty-worthy incidents; VAR-cancelled penalties are counted separately.
Show the receipts
Portugal won 1 penalty (1 scored) from 39 shots inside the box; the field averaged 0.1543 penalties per team per match.
Build snapshot: wc2026-dc400360208f
| Match | Named team | Outcome | Treatment |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1567309 | Portugal | scored | won |
View JSON
{
"baseline": {
"penalties": 29,
"perMatch": 0.1543,
"teamMatches": 188
},
"buildSnapshotId": "wc2026-dc400360208f",
"conceded": {
"count": 0,
"perMatch": 0
},
"events": [
{
"matchId": "1567309",
"namedTeam": "Portugal",
"outcome": "scored",
"treatment": "won"
}
],
"firmness": "limited",
"investigation": "penalties",
"lens": "outlier",
"net": {
"count": 1,
"interval": [
-0.7327,
1.1143
],
"intervalMethod": "poisson_95_difference",
"perMatch": 0.2
},
"perMatch": [
{
"conceded": 0,
"matchId": "1489404",
"opponent": "Uzbekistan",
"won": 0
},
{
"conceded": 0,
"matchId": "1489419",
"opponent": "Colombia",
"won": 0
},
{
"conceded": 0,
"matchId": "1539003",
"opponent": "Congo DR",
"won": 0
},
{
"conceded": 0,
"matchId": "1567309",
"opponent": "Croatia",
"won": 1
},
{
"conceded": 0,
"matchId": "1576756",
"opponent": "Spain",
"won": 0
}
],
"schemaVersion": "1.0",
"sourceMatches": [
"1489404",
"1489419",
"1539003",
"1567309",
"1576756"
],
"teamCode": "Portugal",
"tournament": "wc_2026",
"won": {
"boxShots": 39,
"count": 1,
"perBoxShot": 0.0256,
"perMatch": 0.2,
"scored": 1
}
}