Disallowed goals your way
Portugal
Outlier flagOutlier comparison
Portugal was above the field rate, but not clearly unusual.
Portugal
0Highest
2 opponent goals were disallowed to Portugal's benefit; 1 of Portugal's own was disallowed.
The feed records the overturn, not whether the original or final decision was correct.
Show the receipts
2 favorable overturns ÷ 5 matches = 0.4 per match. Rest-of-field rate: 0.0538. Uncertainty method: 95% Poisson interval.
Build snapshot: wc2026-7082ae433fbe
Every source match
| Match | Opponent | For | Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1489404 | Uzbekistan | 1 | 0 |
| 1489419 | Colombia | 0 | 0 |
| 1539003 | Congo DR | 0 | 0 |
| 1567309 | Croatia | 1 | 1 |
| 1576756 | Spain | 0 | 0 |
Classified events
| Match | Named team | Raw label | Treatment |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1489404 | Uzbekistan | Goal cancelled | for |
| 1567309 | Portugal | Goal cancelled | against |
| 1567309 | Croatia | Goal cancelled | for |
View JSON
{
"baseline": {
"goals": 10,
"perMatch": 0.0538,
"teamMatches": 186
},
"buildSnapshotId": "wc2026-7082ae433fbe",
"confidenceBand": "limited",
"events": [
{
"matchId": "1489404",
"namedTeam": "Uzbekistan",
"rawLabel": "Goal cancelled",
"treatment": "for"
},
{
"matchId": "1567309",
"namedTeam": "Portugal",
"rawLabel": "Goal cancelled",
"treatment": "against"
},
{
"matchId": "1567309",
"namedTeam": "Croatia",
"rawLabel": "Goal cancelled",
"treatment": "for"
}
],
"firmness": "limited",
"goals": {
"against": 1,
"for": 2,
"forPerMatch": 0.4,
"interval": [
0.0484,
1.4449
],
"intervalMethod": "poisson_95"
},
"investigation": "disallowed_goals",
"lens": "outlier",
"perMatch": [
{
"against": 0,
"for": 1,
"matchId": "1489404",
"opponent": "Uzbekistan"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1489419",
"opponent": "Colombia"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1539003",
"opponent": "Congo DR"
},
{
"against": 1,
"for": 1,
"matchId": "1567309",
"opponent": "Croatia"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1576756",
"opponent": "Spain"
}
],
"schemaVersion": "1.0",
"sourceMatches": [
"1489404",
"1489419",
"1539003",
"1567309",
"1576756"
],
"teamCode": "Portugal",
"tournament": "wc_2026"
}