Big-moments ledger
Portugal
Outlier flagComposite outlier — a summary of the three stats above
Adding up the big calls, they netted in Portugal's favor — worth a look.
Portugal
Net againstEvenNet for
3 big calls for Portugal, 1 against, across penalties, red cards and disallowed goals.
These calls are rare, so even a clear gap is a flag worth a look, not a verdict; the components are shown individually above.
Show the receipts
The ledger is the sum of three stats shown individually above, each from a distinct source so nothing is double-counted:
| Component | For | Against |
|---|---|---|
| Penalties (won vs conceded) | 1 | 0 |
| Players sent off (opponent vs own) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals disallowed (opponent's vs own) | 2 | 1 |
| Net ledger | 3 | 1 |
Build snapshot: wc2026-ea43146ad0dd
| Match | Opponent | For | Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1489404 | Uzbekistan | 1 | 0 |
| 1489419 | Colombia | 0 | 0 |
| 1539003 | Congo DR | 0 | 0 |
| 1567309 | Croatia | 2 | 1 |
| 1576756 | Spain | 0 | 0 |
View JSON
{
"buildSnapshotId": "wc2026-ea43146ad0dd",
"components": {
"disallowedGoals": {
"against": 1,
"for": 2
},
"dismissals": {
"against": 0,
"for": 0
},
"penalties": {
"against": 0,
"for": 1
}
},
"firmness": "limited",
"investigation": "big_moments",
"ledger": {
"against": 1,
"for": 3,
"interval": [
-0.9906,
1.7484
],
"intervalMethod": "poisson_95_difference",
"net": 2,
"netPerMatch": 0.4
},
"lens": "outlier",
"perMatch": [
{
"against": 0,
"for": 1,
"matchId": "1489404",
"opponent": "Uzbekistan"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1489419",
"opponent": "Colombia"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1539003",
"opponent": "Congo DR"
},
{
"against": 1,
"for": 2,
"matchId": "1567309",
"opponent": "Croatia"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1576756",
"opponent": "Spain"
}
],
"schemaVersion": "1.0",
"sourceMatches": [
"1489404",
"1489419",
"1539003",
"1567309",
"1576756"
],
"teamCode": "Portugal",
"tournament": "wc_2026"
}