Big-moments ledger
Paraguay
Outlier flagComposite outlier — a summary of the three stats above
Adding up the big calls, they netted against Paraguay.
Paraguay
Net againstEvenNet for
1 big call for Paraguay, 2 against, across penalties, red cards and disallowed goals.
These calls are rare, so even a clear gap is a flag worth a look, not a verdict; the components are shown individually above.
Show the receipts
The ledger is the sum of three stats shown individually above, each from a distinct source so nothing is double-counted:
| Component | For | Against |
|---|---|---|
| Penalties (won vs conceded) | 0 | 1 |
| Players sent off (opponent vs own) | 0 | 1 |
| Goals disallowed (opponent's vs own) | 1 | 0 |
| Net ledger | 1 | 2 |
Build snapshot: wc2026-ea43146ad0dd
| Match | Opponent | For | Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1489370 | United States | 0 | 0 |
| 1489411 | Australia | 0 | 0 |
| 1539006 | Türkiye | 0 | 1 |
| 1565176 | Germany | 1 | 0 |
| 1569870 | France | 0 | 1 |
View JSON
{
"buildSnapshotId": "wc2026-ea43146ad0dd",
"components": {
"disallowedGoals": {
"against": 0,
"for": 1
},
"dismissals": {
"against": 1,
"for": 0
},
"penalties": {
"against": 1,
"for": 0
}
},
"firmness": "limited",
"investigation": "big_moments",
"ledger": {
"against": 2,
"for": 1,
"interval": [
-1.4399,
1.0659
],
"intervalMethod": "poisson_95_difference",
"net": -1,
"netPerMatch": -0.2
},
"lens": "outlier",
"perMatch": [
{
"against": 0,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1489370",
"opponent": "USA"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1489411",
"opponent": "Australia"
},
{
"against": 1,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1539006",
"opponent": "Türkiye"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 1,
"matchId": "1565176",
"opponent": "Germany"
},
{
"against": 1,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1569870",
"opponent": "France"
}
],
"schemaVersion": "1.0",
"sourceMatches": [
"1489370",
"1489411",
"1539006",
"1565176",
"1569870"
],
"teamCode": "Paraguay",
"tournament": "wc_2026"
}