Finding evidence

Norway

Compare all teams

Big-moments ledger

Norway

Outlier flagComposite outlier — a summary of the three stats above

Adding up the big calls, they netted against Norway.

Norway
Net againstEvenNet for
Net match-swinging calls per match across the field; faded band shows the 95% interval.

1 big call for Norway, 2 against, across penalties, red cards and disallowed goals.

These calls are rare, so even a clear gap is a flag worth a look, not a verdict; the components are shown individually above.

Show the receipts

The ledger is the sum of three stats shown individually above, each from a distinct source so nothing is double-counted:

ComponentForAgainst
Penalties (won vs conceded)12
Players sent off (opponent vs own)00
Goals disallowed (opponent's vs own)00
Net ledger12

Build snapshot: wc2026-ea43146ad0dd

MatchOpponentForAgainst
1489401Senegal00
1489416France10
1539016Iraq00
1564789Ivory Coast00
1568100Brazil02
1581037England00
View JSON
{
  "buildSnapshotId": "wc2026-ea43146ad0dd",
  "components": {
    "disallowedGoals": {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0
    },
    "dismissals": {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0
    },
    "penalties": {
      "against": 2,
      "for": 1
    }
  },
  "firmness": "limited",
  "investigation": "big_moments",
  "ledger": {
    "against": 2,
    "for": 1,
    "interval": [
      -1.1999,
      0.8882
    ],
    "intervalMethod": "poisson_95_difference",
    "net": -1,
    "netPerMatch": -0.1667
  },
  "lens": "outlier",
  "perMatch": [
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1489401",
      "opponent": "Senegal"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 1,
      "matchId": "1489416",
      "opponent": "France"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1539016",
      "opponent": "Iraq"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1564789",
      "opponent": "Ivory Coast"
    },
    {
      "against": 2,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1568100",
      "opponent": "Brazil"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1581037",
      "opponent": "England"
    }
  ],
  "schemaVersion": "1.0",
  "sourceMatches": [
    "1489401",
    "1489416",
    "1539016",
    "1564789",
    "1568100",
    "1581037"
  ],
  "teamCode": "Norway",
  "tournament": "wc_2026"
}
Download JSON