Big-moments ledger
Mexico
Outlier flagComposite outlier — a summary of the three stats above
Adding up the big calls, they netted in Mexico's favor — worth a look.
Mexico
Net againstEvenNet for
5 big calls for Mexico, 2 against, across penalties, red cards and disallowed goals.
These calls are rare, so even a clear gap is a flag worth a look, not a verdict; the components are shown individually above.
Show the receipts
The ledger is the sum of three stats shown individually above, each from a distinct source so nothing is double-counted:
| Component | For | Against |
|---|---|---|
| Penalties (won vs conceded) | 1 | 1 |
| Players sent off (opponent vs own) | 4 | 1 |
| Goals disallowed (opponent's vs own) | 0 | 0 |
| Net ledger | 5 | 2 |
Build snapshot: wc2026-ea43146ad0dd
| Match | Opponent | For | Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1489369 | South Africa | 2 | 1 |
| 1489388 | South Korea | 0 | 0 |
| 1539010 | Czechia | 0 | 0 |
| 1567306 | Ecuador | 1 | 0 |
| 1570714 | England | 2 | 1 |
View JSON
{
"buildSnapshotId": "wc2026-ea43146ad0dd",
"components": {
"disallowedGoals": {
"against": 0,
"for": 0
},
"dismissals": {
"against": 1,
"for": 4
},
"penalties": {
"against": 1,
"for": 1
}
},
"firmness": "limited",
"investigation": "big_moments",
"ledger": {
"against": 2,
"for": 5,
"interval": [
-1.1202,
2.2852
],
"intervalMethod": "poisson_95_difference",
"net": 3,
"netPerMatch": 0.6
},
"lens": "outlier",
"perMatch": [
{
"against": 1,
"for": 2,
"matchId": "1489369",
"opponent": "South Africa"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1489388",
"opponent": "South Korea"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1539010",
"opponent": "Czechia"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 1,
"matchId": "1567306",
"opponent": "Ecuador"
},
{
"against": 1,
"for": 2,
"matchId": "1570714",
"opponent": "England"
}
],
"schemaVersion": "1.0",
"sourceMatches": [
"1489369",
"1489388",
"1539010",
"1567306",
"1570714"
],
"teamCode": "Mexico",
"tournament": "wc_2026"
}