Big-moments ledger
England
Outlier flagComposite outlier — a summary of the three stats above
Adding up the big calls, they netted in England's favor — worth a look.
England
Net againstEvenNet for
3 big calls for England, 2 against, across penalties, red cards and disallowed goals.
These calls are rare, so even a clear gap is a flag worth a look, not a verdict; the components are shown individually above.
Show the receipts
The ledger is the sum of three stats shown individually above, each from a distinct source so nothing is double-counted:
| Component | For | Against |
|---|---|---|
| Penalties (won vs conceded) | 3 | 1 |
| Players sent off (opponent vs own) | 0 | 1 |
| Goals disallowed (opponent's vs own) | 0 | 0 |
| Net ledger | 3 | 2 |
Build snapshot: wc2026-43c8d1939c51
| Match | Opponent | For | Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1489384 | Croatia | 1 | 0 |
| 1489402 | Ghana | 0 | 0 |
| 1489422 | Panama | 0 | 0 |
| 1567307 | Congo DR | 0 | 0 |
| 1570714 | Mexico | 1 | 2 |
| 1581037 | Norway | 0 | 0 |
| 1586077 | Argentina | 0 | 0 |
| 1591865 | France | 1 | 0 |
View JSON
{
"buildSnapshotId": "wc2026-43c8d1939c51",
"components": {
"disallowedGoals": {
"against": 0,
"for": 0
},
"dismissals": {
"against": 1,
"for": 0
},
"penalties": {
"against": 1,
"for": 3
}
},
"firmness": "limited",
"investigation": "big_moments",
"ledger": {
"against": 2,
"for": 3,
"interval": [
-0.8258,
1.0656
],
"intervalMethod": "poisson_95_difference",
"net": 1,
"netPerMatch": 0.125
},
"lens": "outlier",
"perMatch": [
{
"against": 0,
"for": 1,
"matchId": "1489384",
"opponent": "Croatia"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1489402",
"opponent": "Ghana"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1489422",
"opponent": "Panama"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1567307",
"opponent": "Congo DR"
},
{
"against": 2,
"for": 1,
"matchId": "1570714",
"opponent": "Mexico"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1581037",
"opponent": "Norway"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1586077",
"opponent": "Argentina"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 1,
"matchId": "1591865",
"opponent": "France"
}
],
"schemaVersion": "1.0",
"sourceMatches": [
"1489384",
"1489402",
"1489422",
"1567307",
"1570714",
"1581037",
"1586077",
"1591865"
],
"teamCode": "England",
"tournament": "wc_2026"
}