Finding evidence

England

Compare all teams

Big-moments ledger

England

Outlier flagComposite outlier — a summary of the three stats above

The big calls netted even for England.

England
Net againstEvenNet for
Net match-swinging calls per match across the field; faded band shows the 95% interval.

2 big calls for England, 2 against, across penalties, red cards and disallowed goals.

These calls are rare, so even a clear gap is a flag worth a look, not a verdict; the components are shown individually above.

Show the receipts

The ledger is the sum of three stats shown individually above, each from a distinct source so nothing is double-counted:

ComponentForAgainst
Penalties (won vs conceded)21
Players sent off (opponent vs own)01
Goals disallowed (opponent's vs own)00
Net ledger22

Build snapshot: wc2026-ea43146ad0dd

MatchOpponentForAgainst
1489384Croatia10
1489402Ghana00
1489422Panama00
1567307Congo DR00
1570714Mexico12
1581037Norway00
View JSON
{
  "buildSnapshotId": "wc2026-ea43146ad0dd",
  "components": {
    "disallowedGoals": {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0
    },
    "dismissals": {
      "against": 1,
      "for": 0
    },
    "penalties": {
      "against": 1,
      "for": 2
    }
  },
  "firmness": "limited",
  "investigation": "big_moments",
  "ledger": {
    "against": 2,
    "for": 2,
    "interval": [
      -1.1637,
      1.1637
    ],
    "intervalMethod": "poisson_95_difference",
    "net": 0,
    "netPerMatch": 0
  },
  "lens": "outlier",
  "perMatch": [
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 1,
      "matchId": "1489384",
      "opponent": "Croatia"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1489402",
      "opponent": "Ghana"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1489422",
      "opponent": "Panama"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1567307",
      "opponent": "Congo DR"
    },
    {
      "against": 2,
      "for": 1,
      "matchId": "1570714",
      "opponent": "Mexico"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1581037",
      "opponent": "Norway"
    }
  ],
  "schemaVersion": "1.0",
  "sourceMatches": [
    "1489384",
    "1489402",
    "1489422",
    "1567307",
    "1570714",
    "1581037"
  ],
  "teamCode": "England",
  "tournament": "wc_2026"
}
Download JSON