Big-moments ledger
Canada
Outlier flagComposite outlier — a summary of the three stats above
Adding up the big calls, they netted in Canada's favor — worth a look.
Canada
Net againstEvenNet for
2 big calls for Canada, 0 against, across penalties, red cards and disallowed goals.
These calls are rare, so even a clear gap is a flag worth a look, not a verdict; the components are shown individually above.
Show the receipts
The ledger is the sum of three stats shown individually above, each from a distinct source so nothing is double-counted:
| Component | For | Against |
|---|---|---|
| Penalties (won vs conceded) | 0 | 0 |
| Players sent off (opponent vs own) | 2 | 0 |
| Goals disallowed (opponent's vs own) | 0 | 0 |
| Net ledger | 2 | 0 |
Build snapshot: wc2026-ea43146ad0dd
| Match | Opponent | For | Against |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1489387 | Qatar | 2 | 0 |
| 1489408 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 |
| 1539000 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 0 | 0 |
| 1561329 | South Africa | 0 | 0 |
| 1567824 | Morocco | 0 | 0 |
View JSON
{
"buildSnapshotId": "wc2026-ea43146ad0dd",
"components": {
"disallowedGoals": {
"against": 0,
"for": 0
},
"dismissals": {
"against": 0,
"for": 2
},
"penalties": {
"against": 0,
"for": 0
}
},
"firmness": "limited",
"investigation": "big_moments",
"ledger": {
"against": 0,
"for": 2,
"interval": [
-0.6893,
1.4449
],
"intervalMethod": "poisson_95_difference",
"net": 2,
"netPerMatch": 0.4
},
"lens": "outlier",
"perMatch": [
{
"against": 0,
"for": 2,
"matchId": "1489387",
"opponent": "Qatar"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1489408",
"opponent": "Switzerland"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1539000",
"opponent": "Bosnia & Herzegovina"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1561329",
"opponent": "South Africa"
},
{
"against": 0,
"for": 0,
"matchId": "1567824",
"opponent": "Morocco"
}
],
"schemaVersion": "1.0",
"sourceMatches": [
"1489387",
"1489408",
"1539000",
"1561329",
"1567824"
],
"teamCode": "Canada",
"tournament": "wc_2026"
}