Finding evidence

Brazil

Compare all teams

Big-moments ledger

Brazil

Outlier flagComposite outlier — a summary of the three stats above

Adding up the big calls, they netted in Brazil's favor — worth a look.

Brazil
Net againstEvenNet for
Net match-swinging calls per match across the field; faded band shows the 95% interval.

2 big calls for Brazil, 0 against, across penalties, red cards and disallowed goals.

These calls are rare, so even a clear gap is a flag worth a look, not a verdict; the components are shown individually above.

Show the receipts

The ledger is the sum of three stats shown individually above, each from a distinct source so nothing is double-counted:

ComponentForAgainst
Penalties (won vs conceded)20
Players sent off (opponent vs own)00
Goals disallowed (opponent's vs own)00
Net ledger20

Build snapshot: wc2026-ea43146ad0dd

MatchOpponentForAgainst
1489371Morocco00
1489389Haiti00
1489406Scotland00
1562344Japan00
1568100Norway20
View JSON
{
  "buildSnapshotId": "wc2026-ea43146ad0dd",
  "components": {
    "disallowedGoals": {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0
    },
    "dismissals": {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0
    },
    "penalties": {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 2
    }
  },
  "firmness": "limited",
  "investigation": "big_moments",
  "ledger": {
    "against": 0,
    "for": 2,
    "interval": [
      -0.6893,
      1.4449
    ],
    "intervalMethod": "poisson_95_difference",
    "net": 2,
    "netPerMatch": 0.4
  },
  "lens": "outlier",
  "perMatch": [
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1489371",
      "opponent": "Morocco"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1489389",
      "opponent": "Haiti"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1489406",
      "opponent": "Scotland"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1562344",
      "opponent": "Japan"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 2,
      "matchId": "1568100",
      "opponent": "Norway"
    }
  ],
  "schemaVersion": "1.0",
  "sourceMatches": [
    "1489371",
    "1489389",
    "1489406",
    "1562344",
    "1568100"
  ],
  "teamCode": "Brazil",
  "tournament": "wc_2026"
}
Download JSON