Finding evidence

Belgium

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Penalties

Belgium

Outlier flagOutlier comparison

Belgium was awarded more penalties than it conceded — worth a look.

Belgium
Net concededEvenNet won
Net penalties (won − conceded) per match across the field; faded band shows the 95% interval.

1 penalty won (1 scored, 0.013 per box shot); 0 conceded.

Penalties are rare, and box shots are only a rough proxy for penalty-worthy incidents; VAR-cancelled penalties are counted separately.

Show the receipts

Belgium won 1 penalty (1 scored) from 77 shots inside the box; the field averaged 0.1559 penalties per team per match.

Build snapshot: wc2026-dc400360208f

MatchNamed teamOutcomeTreatment
1567308Belgiumscoredwon
View JSON
{
  "baseline": {
    "penalties": 29,
    "perMatch": 0.1559,
    "teamMatches": 186
  },
  "buildSnapshotId": "wc2026-dc400360208f",
  "conceded": {
    "count": 0,
    "perMatch": 0
  },
  "events": [
    {
      "matchId": "1567308",
      "namedTeam": "Belgium",
      "outcome": "scored",
      "treatment": "won"
    }
  ],
  "firmness": "limited",
  "investigation": "penalties",
  "lens": "outlier",
  "net": {
    "count": 1,
    "interval": [
      -0.6106,
      0.9286
    ],
    "intervalMethod": "poisson_95_difference",
    "perMatch": 0.1667
  },
  "perMatch": [
    {
      "conceded": 0,
      "matchId": "1489377",
      "opponent": "Egypt",
      "won": 0
    },
    {
      "conceded": 0,
      "matchId": "1489395",
      "opponent": "Iran",
      "won": 0
    },
    {
      "conceded": 0,
      "matchId": "1489415",
      "opponent": "New Zealand",
      "won": 0
    },
    {
      "conceded": 0,
      "matchId": "1567308",
      "opponent": "Senegal",
      "won": 1
    },
    {
      "conceded": 0,
      "matchId": "1570715",
      "opponent": "USA",
      "won": 0
    },
    {
      "conceded": 0,
      "matchId": "1581821",
      "opponent": "Spain",
      "won": 0
    }
  ],
  "schemaVersion": "1.0",
  "sourceMatches": [
    "1489377",
    "1489395",
    "1489415",
    "1567308",
    "1570715",
    "1581821"
  ],
  "teamCode": "Belgium",
  "tournament": "wc_2026",
  "won": {
    "boxShots": 77,
    "count": 1,
    "perBoxShot": 0.013,
    "perMatch": 0.1667,
    "scored": 1
  }
}
Download JSON