Finding evidence

Belgium

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Disallowed goals your way

Belgium

Outlier flagOutlier comparison

Belgium was above the field rate, but not clearly unusual.

Belgium
0Highest
Opponent goals disallowed per match; the faded band shows uncertainty.

1 opponent goal was disallowed to Belgium's benefit; 0 of Belgium's own were disallowed.

The feed records the overturn, not whether the original or final decision was correct.

Show the receipts

1 favorable overturns ÷ 6 matches = 0.1667 per match. Rest-of-field rate: 0.0652. Uncertainty method: 95% Poisson interval.

Build snapshot: wc2026-7082ae433fbe

Every source match

MatchOpponentForAgainst
1489377Egypt00
1489395Iran10
1489415New Zealand00
1567308Senegal00
1570715United States00
1581821Spain00

Classified events

MatchNamed teamRaw labelTreatment
1489395IranGoal cancelledfor
View JSON
{
  "baseline": {
    "goals": 12,
    "perMatch": 0.0652,
    "teamMatches": 184
  },
  "buildSnapshotId": "wc2026-7082ae433fbe",
  "confidenceBand": "limited",
  "events": [
    {
      "matchId": "1489395",
      "namedTeam": "Iran",
      "rawLabel": "Goal cancelled",
      "treatment": "for"
    }
  ],
  "firmness": "limited",
  "goals": {
    "against": 0,
    "for": 1,
    "forPerMatch": 0.1667,
    "interval": [
      0.0042,
      0.9286
    ],
    "intervalMethod": "poisson_95"
  },
  "investigation": "disallowed_goals",
  "lens": "outlier",
  "perMatch": [
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1489377",
      "opponent": "Egypt"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 1,
      "matchId": "1489395",
      "opponent": "Iran"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1489415",
      "opponent": "New Zealand"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1567308",
      "opponent": "Senegal"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1570715",
      "opponent": "USA"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1581821",
      "opponent": "Spain"
    }
  ],
  "schemaVersion": "1.0",
  "sourceMatches": [
    "1489377",
    "1489395",
    "1489415",
    "1567308",
    "1570715",
    "1581821"
  ],
  "teamCode": "Belgium",
  "tournament": "wc_2026"
}
Download JSON