Finding evidence

Argentina

Compare all teams

Big-moments ledger

Argentina

Outlier flagComposite outlier — a summary of the three stats above

Adding up the big calls, they netted in Argentina's favor — worth a look.

Argentina
Net againstEvenNet for
Net match-swinging calls per match across the field; faded band shows the 95% interval.

6 big calls for Argentina, 0 against, across penalties, red cards and disallowed goals.

These calls are rare, so even a clear gap is a flag worth a look, not a verdict; the components are shown individually above.

Show the receipts

The ledger is the sum of three stats shown individually above, each from a distinct source so nothing is double-counted:

ComponentForAgainst
Penalties (won vs conceded)30
Players sent off (opponent vs own)10
Goals disallowed (opponent's vs own)20
Net ledger60

Build snapshot: wc2026-ea43146ad0dd

MatchOpponentForAgainst
1489381Algeria10
1489399Austria10
1489421Jordan10
1565179Cape Verde Islands00
1576804Egypt20
1582681Switzerland10
View JSON
{
  "buildSnapshotId": "wc2026-ea43146ad0dd",
  "components": {
    "disallowedGoals": {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 2
    },
    "dismissals": {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 1
    },
    "penalties": {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 3
    }
  },
  "firmness": "limited",
  "investigation": "big_moments",
  "ledger": {
    "against": 0,
    "for": 6,
    "interval": [
      -0.2478,
      2.1766
    ],
    "intervalMethod": "poisson_95_difference",
    "net": 6,
    "netPerMatch": 1
  },
  "lens": "outlier",
  "perMatch": [
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 1,
      "matchId": "1489381",
      "opponent": "Algeria"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 1,
      "matchId": "1489399",
      "opponent": "Austria"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 1,
      "matchId": "1489421",
      "opponent": "Jordan"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 0,
      "matchId": "1565179",
      "opponent": "Cape Verde Islands"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 2,
      "matchId": "1576804",
      "opponent": "Egypt"
    },
    {
      "against": 0,
      "for": 1,
      "matchId": "1582681",
      "opponent": "Switzerland"
    }
  ],
  "schemaVersion": "1.0",
  "sourceMatches": [
    "1489381",
    "1489399",
    "1489421",
    "1565179",
    "1576804",
    "1582681"
  ],
  "teamCode": "Argentina",
  "tournament": "wc_2026"
}
Download JSON